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Machine learning model predicts airway stenosis requiring clinical intervention in patients after lung transplantation: a retrospective case-controlled study

Abstract

Background

Patients with airway stenosis (AS) are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality after lung transplantation (LTx). This study aims to develop and validate machine learning (ML) models to predict AS requiring clinical intervention in patients after LTx.

Methods

Patients who underwent LTx between January 2017 and December 2019 were reviewed. The conventional logistic regression (LR) model was fitted by the independent risk factors which were determined by multivariate LR. The optimal ML model was determined based on 7 feature selection methods and 8 ML algorithms. Model performance was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) and brier score, which were internally validated by the bootstrap method.

Results

A total of 381 LTx patients were included, and 40 (10.5%) patients developed AS. Multivariate analysis indicated that male, pulmonary arterial hypertension, and postoperative 6-min walking test were significantly associated with AS (all P < 0.001). The conventional LR model showed performance with an AUC of 0.689 and brier score of 0.091. In total, 56 ML models were developed and the optimal ML model was the model fitted using a random forest algorithm with a determination coefficient feature selection method. The optimal model exhibited the highest AUC and brier score values of 0.760 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.666–0.864) and 0.085 (95% CI, 0.058–0.117) among all ML models, which was superior to the conventional LR model.

Conclusions

The optimal ML model, which was developed by clinical characteristics, allows for the satisfactory prediction of AS in patients after LTx.

Peer Review reports

Introduction

Lung transplantation (LTx) has been considered the only effective therapeutic option for end-stage lung diseases. The number of lung transplants has been increasing over the last two decades, with approximately 70,000 adult lung transplants performed worldwide thus far [1]. Since the first clinical LTx in 1963, airway complications (AC) have resulted in substantial mortality and clinical LTx failure [2]. In recent years, the occurrence of AC has tended to decrease with improvements in surgical techniques, immunosuppression, and patient allocation [3]. Nevertheless, large studies have reported that the prevalence of AC remains high.

Airway stenosis (AS) refers to a fixed reduction in the caliber of the airway and is the most common AC after LTx with a reported occurrence rate ranging from 1.6%–32.0% in previous studies [4,5,6,7,8,9]. The onset of AS usually occurs between 2 and 9 months after LTx [10, 11]. A reduction in the cross-sectional area > 50% is confirmation of severe AS, which reduces the quality of life and increases the morbidity and mortality of patients [12]. Severe AS requires timely clinical intervention to prevent further progression of AS [13]. Early detection of AS and treatment by balloon dilation can achieve good efficacy [14]. However, the early stages of AS are difficult to detect since they often present without specific clinical symptoms. Bronchoscopy is the gold standard for diagnosis, but it is usually used in patients who present with clinical symptoms [15]. Therefore, early and accurate detection of AS requiring clinical intervention is crucial to guide clinical decision-making about subsequent treatment.

Although the published 2018 International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) consensus statement reported risk factors for AC, the risk factors for AS remain unclear [4]. The risk factors for AS are still controversial due to the inconsistency of risk factors among different institutions [16, 17]. In addition, the occurrence of AS is difficult to accurately predict by independent risk factors. Identification of AS status requiring clinical intervention using an accurate prediction model could be valuable to conduct optimal treatment and improve outcomes for LTx patients. However, there has been no satisfactory tool to accurately predict AS requiring clinical intervention. Machine learning (ML) algorithms, a branch of artificial intelligence, can integrate clinical characteristics to achieve accurate predictive outcomes [18]. Our prior research underscored the efficacy of ML algorithms in predicting survival outcomes in LTx patients. Building on this foundation, we endeavored to extend the application of ML models to address the prediction of AS requiring clinical intervention after LTx [19]. No published research has reported using ML algorithms to predict AS requiring clinical intervention. In this study, we assessed the clinical characteristics of patients and developed ML models to predict AS requiring clinical intervention. Moreover, the conventional logistic regression (LR) model was fitted by independent risk factors and compared in performance to the optimal ML model.

Methods

Patients

Patients who underwent LTx in Wuxi People’s Hospital affiliated with Nanjing Medical University between January 2017 and December 2019 were included. The study excluded 3 retransplant patients, 3 pediatric lung transplant patients, 2 patients who were lost to follow-up, and 2 patients with incomplete clinical records. Figure 1 shows a flow chart of the included and excluded patients. All the research procedures were consistent with the ISHLT Ethics statement. The Institutional Review Board of Wuxi People’s Hospital affiliated with Nanjing Medical University approved this study (No. 2020 [374]). Patient consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of the study.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Flow diagram for selection of lung transplant recipients. A total of 391 lung transplant recipients were assessed for eligibility. Of this cohort, patients with re-transplant, pediatric lung transplant, lost follow-up, and incomplete clinical records were excluded from the study leaving 381 patients available for the analysis

Parameter measurements

The following variables were extracted from the database: age, body mass index (BMI), sex, diagnosis, surgical type, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) type, ECMO support, preoperative hormone use, grade 3 primary graft dysfunction at 72 h (72 h PGD 3), operation time, postoperative ventilator time, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, postoperative 6-minute walking test (6MWT), cold-ischemia time, and arterial oxygen tension/inspired oxygen fraction (PaO2/FiO2). Diagnoses included interstitial lung disease (ILD), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), and others. By definition, 72 h PGD 3 refers to the syndrome of acute lung injury over the first 72 h after LTx and is clinically manifested by diffuse alveolar infiltration on chest radiographs with PaO2/FiO2 < 200 mmHg (10 mmHg = 1.33 kPa) [20]. Cold-ischemia time in single lung transplantation (SLTx) was defined as the interval between the beginning of cold perfusion of the donor lung and blood reperfusion during LTx surgery. For double lung transplantation (DLTx), the cold-ischemia time was determined at the end of reperfusion of the second lung.

Surgery and perioperative management

Since January 1, 2015, China has stopped using organs from executed prisoners, and voluntary organ donation has become the only legal source. Each bronchial anastomosis was performed in an “end-to-end” technique avoiding telescoping during LTx surgery. All recipients were treated with regular triple immunosuppressive therapy. Patients underwent routine bronchoscopy after LTx, prior to extubation and prior to discharge to assess the condition of the bronchial anastomoses, and the examination frequency was adjusted according to the actual situation. If patients have obvious airflow limitations such as respiratory distress and wheezing, relevant clinical intervention will be activated. An experienced physician (MZL) evaluated the classification of AS based on all definitions and grading systems of AS in the 2018 ISHLT consensus statement [4].

Development of the LR model and ML model

Univariate LR was used to select factors associated with AS based on our cohort. Multivariate LR included only factors with a P < 0.05 in univariate LR. A conventional LR model of AS was developed by LR using independent risk factors. For feature selection, three types of methods were used: filtering, wrapping and embedding, which aim to reduce dimension and avoid overfitting of ML models. Within these three categories of feature selection methods, seven methods were utilized, including LR, determination coefficient (DC), Relief, recursive feature elimination (RFE), Boruta, random forest (RF), and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Finally, 7 groups of features were determined for the subsequent modeling. For the development of ML model, we applied eight ML algorithms, LR, decision tree (DT), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), naïve bayes (NB), support vector machine (SVM), generalized boosted regression modeling (GBRM), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB). A total of 56 ML models were developed based on the 8 ML algorithms with 7 feature selection methods for predicting AS requiring clinical intervention. The model with the highest the area under the curve (AUC) was identified as the optimal ML model.

Predictive performance of the LR model and ML model

We compared the predictive performance of the conventional LR model with the optimal ML model for AS requiring clinical intervention. The performance of all models was evaluated in terms of discrimination and calibration. The AUC of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the discrimination of the model. The brier score was used to assess the calibration of the model. The brier score ranges from 0 to 1; a score that is close to 0 indicates excellent calibration. Moreover, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were also evaluated. All statistics were internally validated by the bootstrap method with 1000 resamples.

Patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups in the optimal ML model based on the threshold determined by ROC. Mean decrease accuracy measures the extent to which each feature’s contribution to the model affects the accuracy of the prediction. It was used to identify features that contributed most significantly to the optimal ML model performance. In addition, the relative importance scores of each predictor in the optimal RF model were assessed using two metrics: Percentage Increase in MSE (percentage increase in mean square error) and Increase in Node Purity. Percentage Increase in MSE measures the impact of the variable on the prediction performance, while Increase in Node Purity measures the contribution of the variable to the purity of the decision tree nodes.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS Statistics (version 22.0 Inc., Chicago, IL, USA), R programming language (version 4.2.1, Vienna, Austria) and GraphPad Prism (version 10.1.2, CA, USA). Patient demographics and clinical parameters were summarized as the means ± standard deviations for continuous variables and numbers with percentages for categorical variables. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. A value of P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant in all analyses.

Results

Clinical characteristics

The clinical characteristics of the LTx patients are summarized in Table 1. A total of 381 patients with 244 males and 137 females were enrolled, and the median age of patients was 57 (range, 19–82) years. In the cohort, most of the indications for LTx were ILD (N = 214) and COPD (N = 67). Regarding surgical type, the numbers of patients with SLTx and DLTx were 201 (52.8%) and 180 (47.2%), respectively. The ECMO type was venoarterial (VA) in 120 cases (31.5%) and venovenous (VV) in 150 cases (39.4%); there were 111 cases (29.1%) that did not involve ECMO. In addition, the operation time, postoperative ventilator time, ICU stay, postoperative 6MWT, cold-Ischemia time and PaO2/FiO2 were 327.76 ± 98.39 min, 5.76 ± 12.42 days, 7.78 ± 10.20 days, 460.84 ± 80.58 m, 7.31 ± 2.05 h and 443.55 ± 66.40, respectively. In this study, forty (10.5%) patients encountered AS requiring clinical intervention during the follow-up period.

Table 1 Summary of clinical characteristics of lung transplant recipients with and without AS requiring clinical intervention

Development of the LR model and ML model

Univariate analysis indicated that male (OR = 3.535, 95% CI, 1.445–8.650, P = 0.006), PAH (OR = 9.651, 95% CI, 2.828–32.930, P < 0.001), VV-ECMO (OR = 0.267, 95% CI, 0.100–0.711, P = 0.008), and postoperative 6MWT (OR = 0.995, 95% CI, 0.991–0.998, P = 0.006) were significantly associated with AS requiring clinical intervention. The multivariate analysis further revealed that male (OR = 7.034, 95% CI, 2.232–22.170, P < 0.001), PAH (OR = 11.249, 95% CI, 2.554–49.549, P < 0.001), and postoperative 6MWT (OR = 0.993, 95% CI, 0.988–0.997, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for AS requiring clinical intervention (Table 2). Conventional LR models were established based on independent risk factors. For the ML model, a total of 5, 5, 7, 8, 7, and 7 features were selected for modeling in the DC, Relief, RF, RFE, Boruta, and LASSO methods, respectively (Table 3). The combination of 7 feature selection methods and 8 ML algorithms (56 ML models) is shown in a heatmap (Fig. 2). The heatmap shows the AUC for the 56 ML models with a median bootstrapped AUC of 0.679 (range 0.569–0.760). The ML model using an RF algorithm with the DC feature selection method exhibited the highest bootstrapped AUC of 0.760 among the models and was confirmed to be the optimal ML model.

Table 2 Univariate and multivariate analysis for risk factors of AS requiring clinical intervention after LTx
Table 3 Features screened by each different feature selection method
Fig. 2
figure 2

Heatmaps of the ML models for predicting AS requiring clinical intervention after LTx. Heatmaps illustrated the performance of each ML algorithm (columns) with each feature selection method (rows), measured by AUC. LR, logistic regression; DT, decision tree; KNN, k-nearest neighbors; NB, naïve bayes; SVM, support vector machine; GBRM, generalized boosted regression modeling; RF, random forest; XGB, extreme gradient boosting; LASSO, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; RFE, recursive feature elimination; DC, determination coefficient; ML, machine learning; AS, airway stenosis; LTx, lung transplantation; AUC, the area under the curve

Predictive performance of the LR model and ML model

The model performance for the prediction of AS requiring clinical intervention is summarized in Table 4. The differences emerged in the predicted values of the conventional LR and optimal ML models. The bootstrapped AUC of the optimal ML model was 0.760 (95% CI, 0.666–0.864), which was superior to the conventional LR model of 0.689 (95% CI, 0.545–0.803). The brier score of the optimal ML models was 0.085 (95% CI, 0.058–0.117), outperforming the conventional LR models of 0.091 (95% CI, 0.064–0.125). Furthermore, the sensitivity of the optimal ML model versus the conventional LR model was 0.782 (95% CI, 0.526–1.000) versus 0.680 (95% CI, 0.350–1.000). The specificity of the optimal ML model versus the conventional LR model was 0.689 (95% CI, 0.424–0.917) versus 0.623 (95% CI, 0.305–0.956). The PPV of the optimal ML model versus the conventional LR model was 0.252 (95% CI, 0.133–0.429) versus 0.236 (95% CI, 0.105–0.500). The NPV of the optimal ML model versus the conventional LR model was 0.965 (95% CI, 0.927–1.000) versus 0.952 (95% CI, 0.905–1.000).

Table 4 Performance of the optimal RF and conventional LR model

A histogram established by the optimal threshold of 0.163 indicates different distributions in the optimal ML model between patients in the high- and low-risk groups (Fig. 3). The majority of patients in the high-risk groups stratified by the optimal ML model presented with AS requiring clinical intervention, while the majority of patients in the low-risk group presented without AS requiring clinical intervention.

Fig. 3
figure 3

Histogram of the predicted values in patients with and without AS requiring clinical intervention after LTx. Patients were divided into high- and low-risk patients with a cut-off value of 0.163. Most of the high-risk patients presented with AS requiring clinical intervention, while most of the low-risk patients presented without AS requiring clinical intervention. AS, airway stenosis; LTx, lung transplantation

Figure 4 illustrates the ranking of features by importance in the optimal ML model for predicting AS requiring clinical intervention. Mean decrease accuracy was calculated over the optimal ML model for the features considered in the model. The five features of the DC feature selection method were postoperative 6MWT, diagnosis, sex, ECMO type, and preoperative hormone use, with postoperative 6MWT being the most significant. Figure 5 illustrates the relative importance scores of the predictor variables in the optimal RF model. Postoperative 6MWT showed the highest Percentage Increase in MSE with Increase in Node Purity, implying that it had the greatest impact on the predictive performance of the model and contributed the most to the purity of the decision tree nodes.

Fig. 4
figure 4

Variable importance in the optimal RF model. Mean decrease accuracy calculated over the optimal RF model for the features considered in the model. 6MWT: 6-minute walking test; ECMO, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation; RF, random forest

Fig. 5
figure 5

Relative importance score in the optimal RF model. In the optimal RF model, Percentage Increase in MSE measures the impact of the variable on the prediction performance, while Increase in Node Purity measures the contribution of the variable to the purity of the decision tree nodes. 6MWT, 6-minute walking test; ECMO, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation; Percentage Increase in MSE, percentage increase in mean square error; RF, random forest

Discussion

Considering the significant value of predicting AS requiring clinical intervention in patients after LTx for treatment guidance, we sought to evaluate the clinical characteristics of the patients and further construct prediction models. The following major findings were revealed in this study: (a) Postoperative 6MWT, diagnosis, sex, ECMO type, and preoperative hormone use are five important features of the optimal ML model. (b) Compared with the conventional LR model, the optimal ML model showed better performance in the prediction of AS requiring clinical intervention. (c) The predictive values of the optimal ML model could obviously distinguish patients with AS requiring clinical intervention. Our study suggests that the optimal ML model may become an effective method for predicting AS requiring clinical intervention.

The 6MWT is used to quantify the functional exercise capacity of patients with moderate to severe lung disease [21]. The negative correlation between the postoperative 6MWT and AS has been described in previous literature [22]. In our study, postoperative 6MWT was the feature with the highest importance in the optimal ML model, indicating the importance of the postoperative 6MWT in predicting AS requiring clinical intervention. PAH is a progressive hemodynamic disease characterized by proliferation and remodeling of small pulmonary arteries [23]. We confirmed that PAH is significantly associated with AS requiring clinical intervention. Patients with PAH are prone to hemodynamic instability in the early postoperative period, which may exacerbate the ischemic condition after LTx by limiting collateral blood flow and lead to development of AS. Sex was usually regarded as a potential contributor to posttransplant complications in LTx patients. The present study found that males were related to an increased probability of AS. Castleberry et al. [24] also reported similar findings. However, Van De Wauwer et al. [25] concluded that males have no negative impact on AS since the sex of the donor and recipient generally overlap. In our opinion, males, with higher levels of PGD after LTx, can have an inadequate anastomotic blood flow supply, which may induce abnormal airway remodeling and increase the occurrence of AS [26]. Additionally, lower estrogen levels in males may lack the protective effect on the airway [27]. VA-ECMO is the bridging modality for patients with respiratory failure awaiting LTx [28]. However, patients on VA-ECMO inherently demonstrate a higher risk of AS episodes since VA-ECMO is more likely to result in bleeding and thrombotic complications compared to VV-ECMO [29]. Our study emphasized the necessity of appropriate use of VV-ECMO rather than VA-ECMO in the LTx perioperative period. The present study also found that preoperative hormone use (prednisone) increased the incidence of AS, which is consistent with the study by Park et al. [30]. Kim et al. [31] reported that the AC rate did not vary significantly with preoperative hormone use. Nevertheless, they found that the incidence of AC in the first postoperative year remains high after receiving high doses of preoperative prednisone. Hence, the effects of receiving high doses of prednisone preoperatively cannot be ignored. McAnally et al. [32] concluded that preoperative hormone use may induce related complications, such as poor bronchial anastomotic healing and severe infections, which may be the reason for the increased risk of AS episodes. Therefore, reducing the preoperative dose of prednisone or discontinuing prednisone may be a feasible way to reduce the risk of AS episodes.

ML algorithm is a scientific tool that focuses on how computers learn from data [33]. It can be applied to clinical characteristics to develop robust risk prediction models and predict patient outcomes [34]. In previous studies, Hindocha et al. utilized clinical features to develop, validate, and externally test ML model. They found that the ML model might allow satisfactory predictions of survival after treatment for non-small cell lung cancer [18]. In this study, we constructed 56 ML models by clinical characteristics, and an optimal ML model was developed based on the most appropriate RF algorithm and DC feature selection method. A conventional LR model was constructed based on three independent risk factors. The discrimination, calibration, sensitivity, and specificity of the models highlighted their performance. Finally, the bootstrap method was used to internally validate the two models. The bootstrapped AUCs of the optimal ML model were higher than 0.750, indicating that the optimal ML model had acceptable discrimination. A brier score of 0.085 proves the calibration of the optimal ML model. Both discrimination and calibration demonstrated that the optimal ML model had better performance in predicting AS requiring clinical intervention compared to the conventional LR model.

The optimal ML model has higher sensitivity and specificity than the conventional LR model, further proving that it is an effective prediction model. Our study is the first to assess the predictive value of the optimal ML model for AS requiring clinical intervention in patients after LTx. The important advantage of the optimal ML model is that it exhibits excellent performance and the application of this method does not require data to conform to statistical assumptions, such as the avoidance of independent variable multicollinearity. Although the optimal ML model exhibits the best performance, not all ML models outperform the conventional LR models. Only the ML model constructed with the most appropriate ML algorithm and feature selection method performed best. Additionally, the results of our study do not completely negate the performance of the conventional LR model since they are applicable to different scenarios respectively [35].

Historically, the conventional LR model is widely used to predict the effect of variables on disease [36]. Nevertheless, the conventional LR model assumes that the contribution of all clinical characteristics to the model is linear, which is not applicable to clinical practice. ML models can be better applied to deal with high-dimensional and nonlinear clinical characteristics. Therefore, it is more suitable for clinical practice to achieve good performance. Moreover, the histogram of predicted AS requiring clinical intervention showed that the predicted outcomes and actual outcomes of the optimal ML model were approximately equal, indicating excellent performance. The majority of high-risk patients presented with AS requiring clinical intervention, and the most intensive follow-up could be performed for high-risk populations. In future studies, developing ML model by using large sample size data is warranted. The ML model could be used in clinical trials to help clinicians screen out high-risk patients and improve patient prognosis.

The limitations of this current study are presented as follows. First, being retrospective, the study had some inevitable selection bias and the results are less convincing than prospective studies. However, strict inclusion and exclusion criteria were used to control for bias. Second, we performed this study in a single center with a relatively small sample size, which limited the application of the model. Therefore, investigations with a large sample size are warranted in the future. Third, microbial infection, an important risk factor, was not evaluated in this study. As patients present with an infectious condition, they are administered the appropriate clinical intervention to suppress the infectious response, which would have an impact on our study results. Fourth, the dataset was imbalanced, with only 10% of patients developing AS. This imbalance may affect the results and the generalization ability of the ML model. Fifth, the study was limited by the absence of certain clinical characteristics such as lung function, imaging, or pathological data, which could potentially enhance the accuracy of predictions. Last, the validation process was conducted by bootstrap resampling instead of application of an independent validation set. Considering that the patient cohort consisted of only 381 individuals, we needed to keep as many samples as possible for model training in order to enhance the model’s generalization. However, bootstrapping could not provide comprehensive validation for the model.

Conclusion

In this study, postoperative 6MWT, diagnosis, sex, ECMO type, and preoperative hormone use were identified as five important features of the optimal ML model. We constructed ML models that can effectively predict AS requiring clinical intervention for patients after LTx with good performance. The optimal ML model outperformed the conventional LR model in predicting AS requiring clinical intervention. Multicenter studies with large data samples are warranted to further validate the model. The obtained results may enable early and accurate prediction of AS requiring clinical intervention, guiding clinical decisions for subsequent treatment. Future multi-center studies with large data samples are anticipated to further validate the model. Moreover, the deep learning model could potentially be applied to the personalized treatment of LTx patients in the future.

Availability of data and materials

The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding authors upon reasonable request.

Abbreviations

AS:

Airway stenosis

AUC:

The area under the curve

BMI:

Body mass index

COPD:

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

DLTx:

Double lung transplantation

DT:

Decision tree

DC:

Determination coefficient

ECMO:

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation

GBRM:

Generalized boosted regression modeling

ILD:

Interstitial lung disease

ICU:

Intensive care unit

ISHLT:

International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation

KNN:

K-nearest neighbors

LTx:

Lung transplantation

LASSO:

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator

LR:

Logistic regression

ML:

Machine learning

NB:

Naïve bayes

NPV:

Negative predictive value

PPV:

Positive predictive value

Percentage Increase in MSE:

Percentage increase in mean square error

PAH:

Pulmonary arterial hypertension

PaO2/FiO2 :

Arterial oxygen tension/inspired oxygen fraction

RF:

Random forest

RFE:

Recursive feature elimination

ROC:

Receiver operating characteristic

SLTx:

Single lung transplantation

SVM:

Support vector machine

VA:

Venoarterial

VV:

Venovenous

XGB:

Extreme gradient boosting

72 h PGD 3:

Grade 3 primary graft dysfunction at 72 h

6MWT:

6- Minute walking test

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Acknowledgements

We would also like to thank American Journal Experts (https://secure.aje.com/cn/researcher/) for editing the English text of a draft of this manuscript.

Funding

This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 82070059).

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

DT: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Data collection, Statistical analysis, Features extraction, Original draft. YJZ: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Data collection, Statistical analysis, Features extraction, Original draft. HJY: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Data collection, Statistical analysis, Features extraction, Original draft. HH: Methodology, Data collection, Statistical analysis, Features extraction, Manuscript editing. MZL: Software, Data collection, Statistical analysis, Manuscript editing. HY: Data collection, Features extraction, Manuscript editing. JZ: Data collection, Manuscript editing. LZS: Conceptualization, Methodology, Statistical analysis, Manuscript editing. JYC: Conceptualization, Methodology, Statistical analysis, Manuscript editing.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Dong Tian, Ling-Zhi Shi or Jing-Yu Chen.

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Ethics approval and consent to participate

The Institutional Review Board of Wuxi People’s Hospital affiliated with Nanjing Medical University approved this study (No. 2020 [374]). Patient does not need to provide informed consent to participate due to waiver by Institutional Review Board of Wuxi People’s Hospital affiliated with Nanjing Medical University.

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Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

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Tian, D., Zuo, YJ., Yan, HJ. et al. Machine learning model predicts airway stenosis requiring clinical intervention in patients after lung transplantation: a retrospective case-controlled study. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 24, 229 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-024-02635-8

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