Table 6 External validation: Point forecast and coverage performance by region
Trust | Region | MASE | Coverage 80 | Coverage 95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
London | North Central | 0.76 (0.11) | 0.84 (0.06) | 0.94 (0.04) |
North East | 0.74 (0.08) | 0.87 (0.06) | 0.97 (0.03) | |
North West | 0.75 (0.11) | 0.86 (0.07) | 0.97 (0.03) | |
South East | 0.70 (0.10) | 0.85 (0.06) | 0.98 (0.03) | |
South West | 0.68 (0.10) | 0.86 (0.06) | 0.97 (0.04) | |
Wales | Central and West | 0.69 (0.12) | 0.82 (0.09) | 0.96 (0.04) |
North | 0.73 (0.14) | 0.79 (0.10) | 0.97 (0.04) | |
South East | 0.64 (0.10) | 0.87 (0.06) | 0.98 (0.04) | |
Yorkshire | ABL | 0.67 (0.11) | 0.86 (0.05) | 0.98 (0.02) |
CKW | 0.74 (0.09) | 0.82 (0.07) | 0.96 (0.03) | |
Humb and ER | 0.77 (0.11) | 0.79 (0.08) | 0.94 (0.04) | |
North Yorks | 0.83 (0.15) | 0.77 (0.09) | 0.94 (0.06) | |
South | 0.76 (0.11) | 0.81 (0.08) | 0.96 (0.04) |