Table 3 Cross-Validation of Seasonal Naive Point Forecasts
Horizon (days) | MASE | sMAPE | RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|
7 | 0.94 (0.35) | 3.48 (1.19) | 96.91 (37.11) |
14 | 1.06 (0.39) | 3.94 (1.32) | 109.71 (41.88) |
21 | 1.12 (0.41) | 4.12 (1.38) | 115.38 (42.94) |
28 | 1.14 (0.40) | 4.19 (1.33) | 118.34 (42.92) |
35 | 1.18 (0.40) | 4.35 (1.34) | 123.26 (42.33) |
42 | 1.23 (0.40) | 4.51 (1.33) | 128.11 (40.34) |
49 | 1.25 (0.39) | 4.61 (1.32) | 131.40 (39.79) |
56 | 1.27 (0.39) | 4.67 (1.33) | 133.95 (40.20) |
63 | 1.30 (0.40) | 4.77 (1.36) | 136.59 (40.30) |
70 | 1.31 (0.37) | 4.82 (1.26) | 138.70 (37.25) |
77 | 1.33 (0.34) | 4.88 (1.18) | 140.73 (34.49) |
84 | 1.34 (0.35) | 4.94 (1.21) | 143.04 (34.07) |
365 | 1.49 (0.46) | 5.51 (1.64) | 155.29 (38.64) |