Population-based estimates of age and comorbidity specific life expectancy: a first application in Swedish males

Van Hemelrijck, Mieke; Ventimiglia, Eugenio; Robinson, David; Gedeborg, Rolf; Holmberg, Lars; Stattin, Pär; Garmo, Hans

doi:10.1186/s12911-022-01766-0

BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making

Table 4 Years lost during ten first years of follow up by regions in Cross validation. Retrieved from observed and simulated survival, by groups of expected remaining lifetime

From: Population-based estimates of age and comorbidity specific life expectancy: a first application in Swedish males

Expected remaining lifetime	Stockholm			Uppsala–Örebro			South east			South			West			North
Expected remaining lifetime	Obs	Sim	Diff	Obs	Sim	Diff	Obs	Sim	Diff	Obs	Sim	Diff	Obs	Sim	Diff	Obs	Sim	Diff
< 3 years	7.52	7.78	− 0.26	7.96	7.68	0.28	7.90	7.71	0.18	7.66	7.66	0.00	7.92	7.71	0.20	8.03	7.63	0.40
3–4 years	6.62	6.90	− 0.28	7.16	6.76	0.40	6.95	6.83	0.13	6.89	6.80	0.09	6.86	6.79	0.08	7.35	6.77	0.58
4–5 years	5.76	6.06	− 0.30	6.19	5.86	0.33	6.13	5.94	0.20	5.90	5.97	− 0.07	6.04	5.92	0.12	6.54	5.89	0.64
5–6 years	5.04	5.20	− 0.16	5.45	5.01	0.44	5.08	5.12	− 0.04	5.19	5.17	0.02	5.11	5.10	0.01	5.67	5.09	0.58
6–7 years	4.44	4.43	0.01	4.60	4.26	0.35	4.37	4.34	0.03	4.42	4.39	0.03	4.57	4.35	0.22	4.96	4.33	0.63
7–8 years	3.49	3.74	− 0.25	3.92	3.61	0.31	3.75	3.69	0.07	3.60	3.73	− 0.13	3.79	3.67	0.12	4.07	3.66	0.41
8–9 years	2.95	3.13	− 0.17	3.27	2.98	0.29	3.14	3.06	0.08	2.97	3.12	− 0.15	3.15	3.09	0.06	3.36	3.03	0.34
9–10 years	2.44	2.66	− 0.22	2.68	2.49	0.19	2.57	2.58	− 0.02	2.53	2.61	− 0.07	2.58	2.58	0.00	2.83	2.51	0.31
10–11 years	2.12	2.20	− 0.08	2.35	2.08	0.27	2.06	2.16	− 0.10	2.10	2.19	− 0.09	2.13	2.11	0.01	2.35	2.07	0.29
11–12 years	1.76	1.82	− 0.06	1.89	1.73	0.16	1.67	1.76	− 0.09	1.69	1.80	− 0.11	1.74	1.78	− 0.04	1.98	1.71	0.27
12–13 years	1.46	1.50	− 0.04	1.57	1.46	0.11	1.43	1.48	− 0.05	1.43	1.50	− 0.07	1.43	1.47	− 0.05	1.67	1.41	0.26
13–14 years	1.17	1.26	− 0.09	1.25	1.24	0.01	1.25	1.25	0.00	1.14	1.26	− 0.12	1.23	1.25	− 0.02	1.21	1.20	0.02
14–15 years	1.01	1.02	− 0.01	1.05	1.00	0.05	1.02	1.01	0.01	1.03	1.02	0.01	0.97	1.02	− 0.05	1.08	0.97	0.10
15–16 years	0.85	0.85	0.01	0.90	0.85	0.05	0.85	0.85	0.00	0.79	0.85	− 0.06	0.79	0.85	− 0.06	0.93	0.83	0.10
16–17 years	0.75	0.69	0.06	0.70	0.67	0.03	0.66	0.69	− 0.03	0.71	0.70	0.01	0.70	0.69	0.01	0.80	0.67	0.13
17–18 years	0.64	0.54	0.10	0.58	0.54	0.04	0.61	0.55	0.06	0.59	0.57	0.02	0.52	0.55	− 0.03	0.67	0.54	0.13
18+ years	7.52	7.78	0.10	0.49	0.43	0.06	0.51	0.43	0.08	0.46	0.43	0.03	0.47	0.44	0.02	0.59	0.43	0.16

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