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Table 4 Results of the sensitivity analysis

From: Construction of a demand and capacity model for intensive care and hospital ward beds, and mortality from COVID-19

Scenario Ward availability (%) ICU availability (%) No ward HR (%) No ICU HR (%) No ICU or Ward HR (%) Excess COVID-19 deaths due to capacity breach Total COVID-19 deaths % increase in COVID-19 deaths
Middling − 20 0 0 0 0 102,573 154 102,728
Middling 0 0 0 0 0 102,573 154 102,728
Middling 20 0 0 0 0 102,573 154 102,728
Middling 0 − 20 0 0 0 102,573 597 103,170
Middling 0 20 0 0 0 102,573 0 102,573
Middling 0 0 − 20 0 0 102,573 154 102,728
Middling 0 0 20 0 0 102,573 154 102,728
Middling 0 0 0 − 20 0 102,573 130 102,703
Middling 0 0 0 20 0 102,573 176 102,750
Middling 0 0 0 0 − 20 102,573 154 102,728
Middling 0 0 0 0 20 102,573 154 102,728
Optimistic 0 0 0 0 0 47,073 0 47,073
Pessimistic − 20 0 0 0 0 289,983 103,735 393,718
Pessimistic 0 0 0 0 0 289,983 73,711 363,694
Pessimistic 20 0 0 0 0 289,983 49,178 339,161
Pessimistic 0 − 20 0 0 0 289,983 76,382 366,365
Pessimistic 0 20 0 0 0 289,983 71,253 361,236
Pessimistic 0 0 − 20 0 0 289,983 66,576 356,559
Pessimistic 0 0 20 0 0 289,983 79,764 369,747
Pessimistic 0 0 0 − 20 0 289,983 73,472 363,455
Pessimistic 0 0 0 20 0 289,983 73,926 363,909
Pessimistic 0 0 0 0 − 20 289,983 72,943 362,926
Pessimistic 0 0 0 0 20 289,983 74,197 364,180