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Table 4 AUC-ROC of COVID-19 mortality prediction results by using T-LSTM on different sets at different timestamps

From: Predicting COVID-19 disease progression and patient outcomes based on temporal deep learning

 

Trainingb

Validationb

Testb

0 days earlya

0.996 ± 0.01

0.997 ± 0.01

0.997 ± 0.00

3 days early

0.989 ± 0.00

0.987 ± 0.01

0.969 ± 0.01

6 days early

0.960 ±0.01

0.957 ±0.0 2

0.947 ±0.03

9 days early

0.944 ±0.00

0.935 ± 0.01

0.921 ±0.03

12 days early

0.926 ± 0.01

0.924 ±0.0 2

0.914 ±0.02

15 days early

0.891 ± 0.01

0.883 ± 0.01

0.863 ±0.01

18 days early

0.852 ± 0.01

0.834 ±0.0 2

0.819 ±0.0 2

  1. an days early: The model makes a prediction n days before the final death/survival time. It uses sequence data from day 0 to n days before the last time to predict
  2. bWe use the records of 375 patients as the training set; the ratio of training set to verification set is 0.8:0.2. The records of 110 patients make up the test set. This experiment is conducted on 5-fold cross-validation