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Table 2 Individual models

From: Surveillance of dengue vectors using spatio-temporal Bayesian modeling

SA1 SA2
Parameter Average CI (95 %) Parameter Average CI (95 %)
Positivity (ζ) 0.67 0.65 0.69 Positivity (ζ) 0.78 0.76 0.79
Border distance (β1) 0.02 –0.08 0.11 Border distance (β1) –0.11 –0.20 –0.02
Interaction (β4) –0.69 –1.36 –0.02 Interaction (β4)
Rainfall (β2) 0.80 0.13 1.47 Rainfall (β2) 0.09 0.04 0.14
Tmin (β3) 0.29 0.19 0.40 Tmin (β3) 0.15 0.07 0.24
Temporal (a) 0.40 0.32 0.47 Temporal (a) 0.46 0.38 0.52
\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\) 0.06 0.05 0.07 \(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\) 0.06 0.05 0.07
\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\) 1.45 1.30 1.62 \(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\) 1.66 1.47 1.87
Range (ρ) 25.98 23.06 29.76 Range (ρ) 21.23 18.06 24.04
SA3 SA4
Parameter Average CI (95 %) Parameter Average CI (95 %)
Positivity (ζ) 0.64 0.62 0.67 Positivity (ζ) 0.65 0.63 0.67
Border distance (β1) 0.03 –0.04 0.11 Border distance (β1) 0.03 –0.07 0.13
Interaction (β4) 0.85 0.14 1.55 Interaction (β4)
Rainfall (β2) –0.74 –1.45 –0.03 Rainfall (β2) 0.00 –0.05 0.06
Tmin (β3) 0.10 –0.00 0.19 Tmin (β3) 0.12 0.03 0.21
Temporal (a) 0.30 0.21 0.42 Temporal (a) 0.46 0.40 0.52
\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\) 0.08 0.05 0.10 \(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\) 0.04 0.03 0.05
\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\) 1.16 1.01 1.32 \(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\) 1.79 1.53 2.07
Range (ρ) 29.96 25.44 34.56 Range (ρ) 26.47 21.85 34.15
SA5 SA6
Parameter Average CI (95 %) Parameter Average CI (95 %)
Positivity (ζ) 0.55 0.53 0.57 Positivity (ζ) 0.66 0.64 0.68
Border distance (β1) –0.04 –0.13 0.05 Border distance (β1) –0.03 –0.11 0.06
Interaction (β4) Interaction (β4)
Rainfall (β2) 0.10 0.04 0.17 Rainfall (β2) 0.11 0.05 0.17
Tmin (β3) 0.35 0.25 0.44 Tmin (β3) 0.29 0.21 0.38
Temporal (a) 0.35 0.30 0.41 Temporal (a) 0.35 0.27 0.41
\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\) 0.09 0.07 0.10 \(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\) 0.04 0.03 0.06
\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\) 1.31 1.17 1.47 \(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\) 1.30 1.12 1.48
Range (ρ) 25.91 23.73 28.06 Range (ρ) 27.26 23.71 31.90
SA7 SA8
Parameter Average CI (95 %) Parameter Average CI (95 %)
Positivity (ζ) 0.65 0.62 0.67 Positivity (ζ) 0.38 0.36 0.40
Border distance (β1) 0.12 0.04 0.21 Border distance (β1) 0.01 –0.08 0.09
Interaction (β4) Interaction (β4)
Rainfall (β2) 0.07 0.01 0.14 Rainfall (β2) 0.09 0.02 0.16
Tmin (β3) 0.30 0.22 0.39 Tmin (β3) 0.06 –0.04 0.16
Temporal (a) 0.32 0.25 0.39 Temporal (a) 0.29 0.18 0.41
\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\) 0.02 0.01 0.05 \(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\) 0.09 0.05 0.12
\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\) 1.36 1.21 1.54 \(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\) 1.04 0.87 1.22
Range (ρ) 33.87 29.52 38.28 Range (ρ) 34.19 29.53 39.56
  1. Average and 95 % credibility interval (CI) of the posterior distribution of the model’s fixed parameters in each sentinel area. Values in bold highlight the statistically significant covariates