Skip to main content

Table 2 Individual models

From: Surveillance of dengue vectors using spatio-temporal Bayesian modeling

SA1

SA2

Parameter

Average

CI (95 %)

Parameter

Average

CI (95 %)

Positivity (ζ)

0.67

0.65

0.69

Positivity (ζ)

0.78

0.76

0.79

Border distance (β1)

0.02

–0.08

0.11

Border distance (β1)

–0.11

–0.20

–0.02

Interaction (β4)

–0.69

–1.36

–0.02

Interaction (β4)

Rainfall (β2)

0.80

0.13

1.47

Rainfall (β2)

0.09

0.04

0.14

Tmin (β3)

0.29

0.19

0.40

Tmin (β3)

0.15

0.07

0.24

Temporal (a)

0.40

0.32

0.47

Temporal (a)

0.46

0.38

0.52

\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\)

0.06

0.05

0.07

\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\)

0.06

0.05

0.07

\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\)

1.45

1.30

1.62

\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\)

1.66

1.47

1.87

Range (ρ)

25.98

23.06

29.76

Range (ρ)

21.23

18.06

24.04

SA3

SA4

Parameter

Average

CI (95 %)

Parameter

Average

CI (95 %)

Positivity (ζ)

0.64

0.62

0.67

Positivity (ζ)

0.65

0.63

0.67

Border distance (β1)

0.03

–0.04

0.11

Border distance (β1)

0.03

–0.07

0.13

Interaction (β4)

0.85

0.14

1.55

Interaction (β4)

Rainfall (β2)

–0.74

–1.45

–0.03

Rainfall (β2)

0.00

–0.05

0.06

Tmin (β3)

0.10

–0.00

0.19

Tmin (β3)

0.12

0.03

0.21

Temporal (a)

0.30

0.21

0.42

Temporal (a)

0.46

0.40

0.52

\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\)

0.08

0.05

0.10

\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\)

0.04

0.03

0.05

\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\)

1.16

1.01

1.32

\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\)

1.79

1.53

2.07

Range (ρ)

29.96

25.44

34.56

Range (ρ)

26.47

21.85

34.15

SA5

SA6

Parameter

Average

CI (95 %)

Parameter

Average

CI (95 %)

Positivity (ζ)

0.55

0.53

0.57

Positivity (ζ)

0.66

0.64

0.68

Border distance (β1)

–0.04

–0.13

0.05

Border distance (β1)

–0.03

–0.11

0.06

Interaction (β4)

Interaction (β4)

Rainfall (β2)

0.10

0.04

0.17

Rainfall (β2)

0.11

0.05

0.17

Tmin (β3)

0.35

0.25

0.44

Tmin (β3)

0.29

0.21

0.38

Temporal (a)

0.35

0.30

0.41

Temporal (a)

0.35

0.27

0.41

\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\)

0.09

0.07

0.10

\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\)

0.04

0.03

0.06

\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\)

1.31

1.17

1.47

\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\)

1.30

1.12

1.48

Range (ρ)

25.91

23.73

28.06

Range (ρ)

27.26

23.71

31.90

SA7

SA8

Parameter

Average

CI (95 %)

Parameter

Average

CI (95 %)

Positivity (ζ)

0.65

0.62

0.67

Positivity (ζ)

0.38

0.36

0.40

Border distance (β1)

0.12

0.04

0.21

Border distance (β1)

0.01

–0.08

0.09

Interaction (β4)

Interaction (β4)

Rainfall (β2)

0.07

0.01

0.14

Rainfall (β2)

0.09

0.02

0.16

Tmin (β3)

0.30

0.22

0.39

Tmin (β3)

0.06

–0.04

0.16

Temporal (a)

0.32

0.25

0.39

Temporal (a)

0.29

0.18

0.41

\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\)

0.02

0.01

0.05

\(\textit {Nugget}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\varepsilon })\)

0.09

0.05

0.12

\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\)

1.36

1.21

1.54

\(\textit {Spatial}\;(\sigma ^{2}_{\omega })\)

1.04

0.87

1.22

Range (ρ)

33.87

29.52

38.28

Range (ρ)

34.19

29.53

39.56

  1. Average and 95 % credibility interval (CI) of the posterior distribution of the model’s fixed parameters in each sentinel area. Values in bold highlight the statistically significant covariates