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Table 4 Mean probability assessments (plus standard deviations) for multiple diagnoses vignettes 1–3

From: Medicine in words and numbers: a cross-sectional survey comparing probability assessment scales

   vignette 1 vignette 2 vignette 3
option scale short list (n = 32) long list (n = 54) short list (n = 62) long list (n = 24) short list (n = 42) long list (n = 44)
  verbal 18 (4.8) 31 (21.6) 10 (8.6) 9 (8.1) 59 (26.7) 50 (24.9)
A double 24 (21.5) 30 (14.7) 9 (6.6) 7 (5.6) 59 (23.6) 66 (20.2)
  numerical 29 (22.7) 28 (21.0) 8 (4.6) 4 (0.9) 65 (26.9) 61 (25.2)
  total 25 (19.9) 30 (19.3) 9 (6.8) 6 (5.2) 62 (25.5) 58 (24.0)
  verbal 36 (20.4) 28 (15.3) 82 (13.9) 89 (13.8) 27 (10.3) 28 (16.0)
B double 28 (15.6) 32 (18.1) 75 (29.4) 72 (23.1) 19 (14.4) 29 (16.9)
  numerical 30 (22.4) 26 (20.4) 81 (9.6) 80 (10.7) 21 (14.5) 26 (15.1)
  total 31 (20.1) 29 (17.4) 79 (21.1) 78 (18.8) 22 (13.4) 28 (15.8)
  verbal 63 (22.4) 121 (36.3) 32 (17.7) 96 (25.3) 46 (29.3) 128 (50.4)
O double 76 (15.2) 130 (39.0) 37 (26.8) 85 (31.4) 39 (23.7) 108 (38.9)
  numerical 63 (12.9) 117 (53.5) 28 (26.6) 74 (66.0) 30 (24.6) 88 (60.2)
  total 66 (16.3) 123 (41.7) 33 (24.2) 84 (43.2) 37 (26.1) 112 (50.6)