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Table 6 Model results – test data

From: Predicting length of stay from an electronic patient record system: a primary total knee replacement example

LoS grouping

Proportion of admissions

Total number of actual days stayed

Total number of days difference (Model vs Actual)

% difference in total number of days

Predicting within 1 days accuracy

Predicting within 2 days accuracy

Predicting within 3 days accuracy

4 to 6 days

50.9%

500

158

31.6%

32.4%

67.6%

88.6%

Shorter LoS

17.3%

95

110

115.6%

0.0%

30.6%

58.3%

Longer LoS

31.8%

667

-180

-27.0%

25.4%

52.2%

68.7%

Total

100.%

1262

88

6.9%

24.5%

56.3%

76.9%