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Table 3 Calculation of model parameters

From: Predictive algorithm for the regional spread of coronavirus infection across the Russian Federation

Date

Number of people recovered

Number of people infected

Incremental R

Incremental I

γ

β

 

R

I

dR

dI

γ = dR/I

β = γ + dI/I

08.04.2020

13

67

    

09.04.2020

13

74

0.5

19

0.0074

0.2910

10.04.2020

14

105

0.5

32

0.0067

0.4391

11.04.2020

14

138

0

37.5

0

0.3571

12.04.2020

14

180

3

33

0.0217

0.26087

4.05.2020

386

2466

26

139.5

0.0110

0.0704

5.05.2020

398

2628

18

205

0.0072

0.0904

6.05.2020

422

2876

47.5

244.5

0.0180

0.1111

7.05.2020

493

3117

44

250

0.0152

0.1022