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Fig. 3 | BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making

Fig. 3

From: Transferability and interpretability of the sepsis prediction models in the intensive care unit

Fig. 3

Some illustrative examples of prediction. Each subplot described the confidence index for multiple models (Y-axis) at the indicated time (X-axis). (i) The condition of the patient aggravated in the early morning, with multiple organ dysfunction, and the patient was diagnosed with sepsis at noon. Our model prediction exceeded the warning threshold of 0.7 for the prediction at 9:00 AM. (ii) Despite the high SOFA score (7.0), there was no evidence of ΔSOFA ≥ 2 within 72 h. Consistently, the predictions were all lower than the threshold. (iii) Although the patient’s SOFA score was stable at 6.0, our model made incorrect predictions of sepsis. (iv) The SOFA score showed an increase from 6.0 to 9.0 at 06:00 PM. In combination with evidence of infection, the patient was diagnosed with sepsis. However, the prediction was below the warning threshold

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