Environmental and clinical data utility in pediatric asthma exacerbation risk prediction models

Table 3 Comparison of the overall, clinical, and parsimonious models created with different modeling methods

Outcome	AUC			P value
Outcome	Overall model	Clinical factors	Parsimonious model	Overall model vs. Clinical factors	Clinical factors vs. Parsimonious model
Comparison of the overall, clinical, and parsimonious models of LASSO models
Exacerbation in 30 days	0.753	0.734	0.667	< 0.001	< 0.001
Exacerbation in 90 days	0.740	0.732	0.643	< 0.001	< 0.001
Exacerbation in 180 days	0.732	0.729	0.645	0.026	< 0.001
Comparison of the overall, clinical, and parsimonious models of Random Forest Survival models
Exacerbation in 30 days	0.757	0.741	0.672	< 0.001	< 0.001
Exacerbation in 90 days	0.747	0.738	0.644	< 0.001	< 0.001
Exacerbation in 180 days	0.729	0.725	0.648	0.019	< 0.001
Comparison of the overall, clinical, and parsimonious models of Gradient Boosting (xgBoost) models
Exacerbation in 30 days	0.761	0.742	0.664	< 0.001	< 0.001
Exacerbation in 90 days	0.752	0.744	0.639	< 0.001	< 0.001
Exacerbation in 180 days	0.739	0.730	0.640	< 0.001	< 0.001

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