AUC | Current assessment | 3 month prediction | 6 month prediction | 12 month prediction | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RF | LR | DT | NB | RF | LR | DT | NB | RF | LR | DT | NB | RF | LR | DT | NB | |
MREdτ | ||||||||||||||||
Temporal 4_9 | 0.95* | 0.85*+ | 0.92+ | 0.87*+ | 0.88 | 0.79*+ | 0.83+ | 0.83+ | 0.81 | 0.77*+ | 0.74+ | 0.78+ | 0.77 | 0.74*+ | 0.70+ | 0.74+ |
Temporal 5_9 | 0.95 | 0.78*+ | 0.92+ | 0.89+ | 0.88 | 0.76*+ | 0.83+ | 0.83+ | 0.81 | 0.74+ | 0.74*+ | 0.78+ | 0.77 | 0.71*+ | 0.70+ | 0.74+ |
Temporal 6_9 | 0.95 | 0.78+ | 0.92+ | 0.90+ | 0.88 | 0.75+ | 0.83+ | 0.83+ | 0.81 | 0.74+ | 0.74+ | 0.78+ | 0.77 | 0.72+ | 0.70+ | 0.74+ |
Binary | 0.94* | 0.94* | 0.91*+ | 0.87*+ | 0.87* | 0.87*+ | 0.82*+ | 0.80+ | 0.81 | 0.81*+ | 0.74+ | 0.77*+ | 0.77 | 0.77*+ | 0.70+ | 0.74*+ |
MSREdτ | ||||||||||||||||
Temporal 4_9 | 0.95 | 0.94*+ | 0.92+ | 0.89+ | 0.88 | 0.88*+ | 0.83+ | 0.82+ | 0.81* | 0.81*+ | 0.74+ | 0.76+ | 0.77 | 0.77* | 0.70+ | 0.72+ |
Temporal 5_9 | 0.95 | 0.93*+ | 0.92+ | 0.89+ | 0.88 | 0.84*+ | 0.82+ | 0.82+ | 0.81* | 0.79*+ | 0.74+ | 0.76+ | 0.77 | 0.75*+ | 0.70+ | 0.72+ |
Temporal 6_9 | 0.95 | 0.76+ | 0.92+ | 0.90+ | 0.88 | 0.72+ | 0.83+ | 0.82+ | 0.81 | 0.71+ | 0.74+ | 0.76+ | 0.77 | 0.69+ | 0.70+ | 0.72+ |
Binary | 0.94* | 0.94*+ | 0.90*+ | 0.90+ | 0.88* | 0.87*+ | 0.81*+ | 0.83+ | 0.81* | 0.81*+ | 0.74*+ | 0.78*+ | 0.77 | 0.77* | 0.69+ | 0.74*+ |
MEdτ | ||||||||||||||||
Temporal 4_9 | 0.79 | 0.79*+ | 0.72*+ | 0.73+ | 0.76 | 0.76* | 0.68+ | 0.68+ | 0.75* | 0.75* | 0.66+ | 0.71+ | 0.73 | 0.72* | 0.64+ | 0.69+ |
Temporal 5_9 | 0.79 | 0.78*+ | 0.71+ | 0.73+ | 0.76 | 0.75+ | 0.68+ | 0.68+ | 0.75 | 0.74*+ | 0.66+ | 0.71+ | 0.73 | 0.71*+ | 0.64+ | 0.69+ |
Temporal 6_9 | 0.79 | 0.78* | 0.72+ | 0.73+ | 0.76 | 0.75+ | 0.68+ | 0.68+ | 0.75 | 0.74 | 0.66+ | 0.71+ | 0.73 | 0.72+ | 0.64+ | 0.69+ |
Binary | 0.78* | 0.78* | 0.70*+ | 0.73+ | 0.76 | 0.76* | 0.67*+ | 0.70*+ | 0.75 | 0.75* | 0.66+ | 0.71*+ | 0.72* | 0.73*+ | 0.64+ | 0.69*+ |
MSEdτ | ||||||||||||||||
Temporal 4_9 | 0.79 | 0.77*+ | 0.71+ | 0.64+ | 0.76 | 0.75*+ | 0.68+ | 0.63+ | 0.74 | 0.73*+ | 0.66+ | 0.60+ | 0.72 | 0.72* | 0.63+ | 0.58+ |
Temporal 5_9 | 0.79 | 0.76*+ | 0.71+ | 0.64+ | 0.76 | 0.73*+ | 0.68+ | 0.63+ | 0.74 | 0.72*+ | 0.66+ | 0.60+ | 0.72 | 0.71*+ | 0.63+ | 0.58+ |
Temporal 6_9 | 0.79 | 0.75+ | 0.71+ | 0.64+ | 0.76 | 0.72+ | 0.68+ | 0.63+ | 0.74 | 0.71+ | 0.66+ | 0.60+ | 0.72 | 0.69+ | 0.63+ | 0.58+ |
Binary | 0.76* | 0.77*+ | 0.68*+ | 0.74*+ | 0.74* | 0.74* | 0.65*+ | 0.71*+ | 0.73* | 0.73* | 0.64*+ | 0.71*+ | 0.71* | 0.72*+ | 0.63+ | 0.69*+ |