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Table 9 Comparison of the forecasting performance of the ARIMA and Hybrid model

From: Medical service demand forecasting using a hybrid model based on ARIMA and self-adaptive filtering method

 

ARIMA

Hybrid models

PEV

BUEV

PEV

BUEV

PEmax(%)

41.7%

47.64%

6.16%

2.14%

PEmin(%)

2.39%

4.70%

0.04%

0.71%

MAPE(%)

18.53%

27.69%

2.79%

1.25%

σPE(%)

11.74%

15.39%

1.87%

0.38%

  1. ARIMA auto-regressive integrated moving average, Hybrid model ARIMA-self-adaptive filtering hybrid forecasting model, PE percentage error, PEV prenatal examination visits, BUEV B-ultrasound examination visitors, PEmax Maximum percentage error, PEmin Minimum percentage error, MAPE mean absolute percentage error, σPE value of the standard deviation of the PE
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BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making

ISSN: 1472-6947

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