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Table 2 Analogue prediction results with dew point

From: Predicting influenza with dynamical methods

State

l

v

Peak RMS % Error

AUC RMS % Error

Correlation Coefficient

AL

7

2

11.8

10.7

.83

AK

7

2

5.3

13.0

.73

AR

7

2

14.0

7.3

.66

AZ

7

2

11.0

13.9

.91

CA

7

2

5.1

19.4

.85

CO

7

2

7.1

5.1

.75

CT

7

2

9.4

8.3

.73

DE

7

2

13.7

19.8

.75

FL

7

2

14.7

7.0

.85

GA

7

2

13.0

12.0

.91

HI

7

2

9.1

7.7

.60

IL

7

2

10.5

13.8

.62

KS

7

2

8.9

9.3

.81

KY

7

2

12.3

12.7

.88

LA

7

2

9.5

10.4

.88

MD

7

2

14.6

10.7

.78

MA

7

2

11.9

10.1

.72

MS

7

2

6.8

13.7

.76

MO

7

2

10.2

5.1

.83

MT

7

2

6.5

15.8

.66

NE

7

2

15.1

11.4

.78

NV

7

2

5.3

12.9

.91

NH

7

2

22.1

6.6

.62

NJ

7

2

4.4

19.6

.67

NM

7

2

10.9

12.5

.87

NY

7

2

15.6

8.4

.80

NC

7

2

19.6

18.9

.88

ND

7

2

15.8

7.4

.72

OH

7

2

17.7

12.4

.85

OK

7

2

20.1

10.8

.69

PA

7

2

6.7

12.3

.85

RI

7

2

22.8

12.8

.65

SC

7

2

20.5

15.2

.78

SD

7

2

19.4

32.5

.62

TN

7

2

5.9

8.3

.83

TX

7

2

16.3

7.3

.86

UT

7

2

10.7

2.8

.78

VA

7

2

16.9

21.1

.71

WA

7

2

8.0

21.8

.83

WY

7

2

12.2

7.6

.76

Average for all states with l = 7,v = 2

12.3

12.2

.77