Skip to main content

Table 2 Performance the models to predict 3-month outcome with the recommended cutoffs

From: Logistic regression model can reduce unnecessary artificial liver support in hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure: decision curve analysis

Model

PTA

MELD

LRM

cutoff

30 %

30

0.2

Sensitivity

39.7 %

55 %

92.6 %

Specificity

77.5 %

70.2 %

42.3 %

PPV

65.8 %

62.9 %

63.6 %

NPV

51.4 %

63 %

83.9 %

AUC

0.59 (0.53–0.64)

0.63 (0.56–0.69)

0.68 (0.62–0.73)

DOR

2.26 (1.28–4.01)

2.88 (1.68–4.93)

9.14 (4.25–19.6)

  1. PTA prothrombin activity, MELD model for end-stage liver disease, LRM logistic, regression model, PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value, AUC area under the receiving operating characteristic curve, DOR diagnostic odds ratio