From: A Bayesian spatio–temporal approach for real–time detection of disease outbreaks: a case study
Decision rule | Declared start of epidemic in region | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DaysN | Thresholdϖ | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
1 | .2 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 |
1 | .5 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 |
1 | .8 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 |
2 | .2 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 |
2 | .5 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 |
2 | .8 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 |
3 | .2 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 |
3 | .5 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 |
3 | .8 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/23 |