Table 2 Declared start of ILI epidemic in 2009 for each region, under various decision rules
From: A Bayesian spatio–temporal approach for real–time detection of disease outbreaks: a case study
Decision rule | Declared start of epidemic in region | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DaysN | Thresholdϖ | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
1 | .2 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16* | 8/16 |
1 | .5 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/17* | 8/17 |
1 | .8 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/17 | 8/22 | 8/21 | 8/18 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/18 |
2 | .2 | 8/21 | 8/21 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16* | 8/16 |
2 | .5 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/21 | 8/17 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/17* | 8/17 |
2 | .8 | 8/30 | 8/27 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/17 | 8/22 | 8/21 | 8/18 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/18 |
3 | .2 | 8/21 | 8/21 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16 | 8/16* | 8/16 |
3 | .5 | 8/23 | 8/23 | 8/21 | 8/21 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/17 | 8/20 | 8/17* | 8/17 |
3 | .8 | 8/30 | 8/30 | 8/23 | 8/22 | 8/17 | 8/22 | 8/21 | 8/18 | 8/22 | 8/22 | 8/18 |