Skip to main content

Table 3 Simulation results for correction for over-fit: "best estimate" of net benefit minus net benefit after correction.

From: Extensions to decision curve analysis, a novel method for evaluating diagnostic tests, prediction models and molecular markers

Threshold

Number of events

Correction method

Bootstrap – 10-fold

 

(Total sample size)

Bootstrap

2-fold

10-fold

 

15%

100 (385)

0.0001

0.0021

0.0005

-0.0004

 

50 (193)

0.0032

0.0048

0.0013

0.0019

 

40 (154)

0.0050

0.0073

0.0025

0.0025

 

30 (116)

0.0080

0.0119

0.0045

0.0035

 

20 (77)

0.0106

0.0249

0.0081

0.0025

25%

100 (385)

0.0005

0.0007

0.0007

-0.0002

 

50 (193)

0.0024

0.0038

0.0002

0.0022

 

40 (154)

0.0036

0.0063

0.0012

0.0024

 

30 (116)

0.0079

0.0109

0.0033

0.0046

 

20 (77)

0.0098

0.0249

0.0069

0.0029

35%

100 (385)

0.0024

0.0047

0.0024

0.0000

 

50 (193)

0.0063

0.0083

0.0039

0.0024

 

40 (154)

0.0075

0.0111

0.0057

0.0018

 

30 (116)

0.0111

0.0158

0.0084

0.0027

 

20 (77)

0.0145

0.0304

0.0118

0.0027

60%

100 (385)

0.0049

0.0101

0.0052

-0.0003

 

50 (193)

0.0114

0.0185

0.0106

0.0008

 

40 (154)

0.0126

0.0231

0.0142

-0.0016

 

30 (116)

0.0163

0.0292

0.0174

-0.0011

 

20 (77)

0.0223

0.0465

0.0256

-0.0033

80%

100 (385)

0.0049

0.0085

0.0050

-0.0001

 

50 (193)

0.0089

0.0181

0.0089

0.0000

 

40 (154)

0.0101

0.0250

0.0121

-0.0020

 

30 (116)

0.0098

0.0349

0.0167

-0.0069

 

20 (77)

0.0179

0.0623

0.0295

-0.0116