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Table 5 The E-M iteration results for the illness-and-death Markov model

From: Estimation of progression of multi-state chronic disease using the Markov model and prevalence pool concept

 

Parameter

Iteration

λ 1 (95% CI)

λ 2 (95% CI)

λ 3 (95% CI)

Overall

   

-----

---------

0.1176

0.0100

1

0.0108

0.1142

0.0194

2

0.0108

0.1142

0.0194

3

0.0108

0.1142

0.0194

 

(0.0045~0.0258)

(0.0614~0.2122)

(0.0063~0.0600)

≥ 50 yrs

   

-----

---------

0.1176

0.0100

1

0.0151

0.0926

0.0258

2

0.0151

0.0926

0.0258

3

0.0151

0.0926

0.0258

 

(0.0049~0.0469)

(0.0416~0.2062)

(0.0064~0.1033)

< 50 yrs

   

-----

--------

0.1176

0.0100

1

0.0075

0.1934

0.0068

2

0.0075

0.1933

0.0068

3

0.0075

0.1933

0.0068

 

(0.0019~0.0300)

(0.0725~0.5149)

(0.0005~0.0906)

  1. λ 1:normal → asymptomatic ; λ 2:asymptomatic → symptomatic.
  2. λ 3:symptomatic → death of Type 2 diabetes