Table 3 Probability and confidence: Mean probability and confidence assessments (plus standard deviations) for the simple vignettes, per scale type
From: Medicine in words and numbers: a cross-sectional survey comparing probability assessment scales
| Â | probability | Confidence | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vignette | verbal | double | numerical | verbal | double | numerical |
4 | 69 (16.7) | 65 (20.0) | 74 (18.3) | 82 (12.2) | 83 (12.5) | 81 (17.2) |
5 | 40 (22.5) | 47 (22.3) | 41 (23.2) | 63 (22.9) | 73 (21.5) | 68 (21.1) |
6 | 58 (27.2) | 69 (22.3) | 66 (18.2) | 83 (11.5) | 80 (14.9) | 72 (21.0) |
7 | 42 (21.6) | 42 (17.4) | 44 (21.5) | 78 (13.4) | 77 (17.2) | 76 (18.7) |
8 | 54 (22.1) | 44 (22.0) | 41 (21.4) | 80 (16.9) | 74 (24.1) | 76 (18.1) |
9 | 15 (7.0) | 17 (10.5) | 14 (12.2) | 89 (5.8) | 86 (14.2) | 89 (7.5) |
10 | 32 (19.6) | 35 (19.0) | 34 (20.4) | 82 (14.8) | 77 (14.6) | 77 (16.0) |
11 | 49 (19.3) | 46 (21.0) | 41 (20.8) | 76 (18.5) | 76 (15.4) | 72 (19.4) |
12 | 40 (17.5) | 43 (21.5) | 40 (21.8) | 81 (12.9) | 82 (15.0) | 76 (15.4) |
13 | 80 (24.2) | 72 (23.9) | 76 (24.8) | 88 (14.2) | 80 (24.4) | 86 (14.4) |
14 | 90 (16.9) | 94 (7.2) | 85 (22.4) | 92 (10.7) | 93 (9.4) | 92 (8.0) |
15 | 57 (33.1) | 62 (28.7) | 76 (18.9) | 87 (12.1) | 88 (12.5) | 89 (11.6) |