TY - JOUR AU - Martin, Chris AU - Vanderpump, Mark AU - French, Joyce PY - 2004 DA - 2004/05/24 TI - Description and validation of a Markov model of survival for individuals free of cardiovascular disease that uses Framingham risk factors JO - BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making SP - 6 VL - 4 IS - 1 AB - Estimation of cardiovascular disease risk is increasingly used to inform decisions on interventions, such as the use of antihypertensives and statins, or to communicate the risks of smoking. Crude 10-year cardiovascular disease risk risks may not give a realistic view of the likely impact of an intervention over a lifetime and will underestimate of the risks of smoking. A validated model of survival to act as a decision aid in the consultation may help to address these problems. This study aims to describe the development of such a model for use with people free of cardiovascular disease and evaluates its accuracy against data from a United Kingdom cohort. SN - 1472-6947 UR - https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6 DO - 10.1186/1472-6947-4-6 ID - Martin2004 ER -