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Table 3 Average (st. dev.) 1 - c-index performance results of cox proportional hazards and random survival forest models as estimated by collating out-of-bag distributions from 100 bootstrap runs

From: Can multiple SNP testing in BRCA2 and BRCA1 female carriers be used to improve risk prediction models in conjunction with clinical assessment?

Model

Average (st.dev.) 1 - c-index

 

BRCA1

BRCA2

(i) GPS

0.468 (0.037)*

0.417 (0.021)*

(ii) GPS + Clin./Demogr.

0.221 (0.019)

0.215 (0.018)

(iii) SNPs

0.504 (0.026)*

0.469 (0.028)*

(iv) SNPs + Clin./Demogr.

0.238 (0.019)

0.241 (0.019)

(v) Clin./Demogr.

0.222 (0.019)

0.217 (0.018)

(vi) all variables (by AIC)

0.236 (0.018)

0.232 (0.019)

Random survival forest (all variables)

0.243 (0.019)

0.230 (0.019)

  1. *p > 0.0001 as compared to model (ii) by an adjusted t-test. Values in bold show the best performance.