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Table 3 Reported and forecasted TB cases for 2011

From: A hybrid seasonal prediction model for tuberculosis incidence in China

Date Reported cases Forecasted cases
   SARIMA model Hybrid model
January 99617 97969 101914
February 98157 99085 104172
March 135848 144081 134218
April 129351 145607 134200
May 125129 135715 127165
June 119344 135855 127130
July 112647 129515 119442
August 115140 125768 110901
September 106925 119794 105334
October 100392 109934 108230
November 110662 112293 107170
December 104710 115860 105263
Error    
MSE   125120982.998 22749934.518
MAE   9737.576 4093.497
MAPE   0.084 0.037