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Table 2 Parameter estimates and their testing results of the SARIMA model

From: A hybrid seasonal prediction model for tuberculosis incidence in China

Coefficients

Estimates

Standard error

t

p value

Non-Seasonal Lags

AR1

0.272

0.097

2.793

0.007

Seasonal Lags

Seasonal AR1

0.997

0.020

49.893

0.000

 

Seasonal MA1

0.888

0.392

2.268

0.026

Constant

123088.518

5895.414

20.879

0.000

  1. Melard's algorithm was used for estimation.