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Table 4 Main results: posterior distributions and inversed probabilities of the final NBCMM using a NBC

From: Bayesian predictors of very poor health related quality of life and mortality in patients with COPD

Factors of very poor QoL/death

Predicted class

Evidence strength

Protective

Alive with not very poor QoL

Inversed (If alive with not very poor QoL)

%

95% CrI (%)

PO

95% CrI

%

95% CrI (%)

PO

95% CrI

Age at asthma onset over 65.49

80.0

76.9

83.0

4.0

3.3

4.9

16.0

13.4

19.1

0.2

0.2

0.2

No CVD

77.0

73.6

80.1

3.3

2.8

4.0

76.0

72.6

79.2

3.2

2.6

3.8

No diabetes

76.0

72.6

79.2

3.2

2.6

3.8

88.0

85.3

90.3

7.3

5.8

9.3

No alcoholism

75.0

71.5

78.2

3.0

2.5

3.6

87.0

84.3

89.4

6.7

5.4

8.4

No cancer

74.0

70.6

77.3

2.8

2.4

3.4

96.0

94.3

97.3

24.0

16.5

36.0

No psychiatric disease

75.0

71.5

78.2

3.0

2.5

3.6

93.0

90.9

94.8

13.3

10.0

18.2

BMI 0

87.0

84.3

89.4

6.7

5.4

8.4

3.0

1.8

4.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

FEV1 over 89.61

81.0

77.8

83.9

4.3

3.5

5.2

5.0

3.5

6.8

0.1

0.0

0.1

No AF

74.0

70.6

77.3

2.8

2.4

3.4

95.0

93.2

96.5

19.0

13.7

27.6

QT below 378.17

71.0

67.4

74.3

2.4

2.1

2.9

4.0

2.7

5.7

0.0

0.0

0.1

Risk

Very poor QoL/death

Inversed (If very poor QoL/death)

%

95% CrI (%)

PO

95% CrI

%

95% CrI (%)

PO

95% CrI

Age at asthma onset below 45.53

47.0

43.2

50.8

0.9

0.8

1.0

18.0

15.1

21.0

0.2

0.2

0.3

CVD

37.0

33.3

40.7

0.6

0.5

0.7

38.0

34.3

41.8

0.6

0.5

0.7

Diabetes

43.0

39.2

46.8

0.8

0.6

0.9

24.0

20.8

27.4

0.3

0.3

0.4

Alcoholism

40.0

36.3

43.4

0.7

0.6

0.8

23.0

19.9

26.4

0.3

0.2

0.4

Cancer

49.0

45.2

52.8

1.0

0.8

1.1

10.0

7.9

12.5

0.1

0.1

0.1

Psychiatric disease

46.0

42.2

49.9

0.9

0.7

1.0

17.0

14.3

20.0

0.2

0.2

0.3

BMI 3

51.0

47.2

54.8

1.0

0.9

1.2

12.0

9.7

14.7

0.1

0.1

0.2

FEV1 below 31.11

50.0

46.2

53.9

1.0

0.9

1.2

12.0

9.7

14.7

0.1

0.1

0.2

AF

47.0

43.2

50.8

0.9

0.8

1.0

11.0

8.7

13.6

0.1

0.1

0.2

QT over 506.59

98.0

96.7

98.9

49.0

29.3

89.9

3.0

1.8

4.5

0.0

0.0

0.0