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Table 4 Main results: posterior distributions and inversed probabilities of the final NBCMM using a NBC

From: Bayesian predictors of very poor health related quality of life and mortality in patients with COPD

Factors of very poor QoL/death Predicted class Evidence strength
Protective Alive with not very poor QoL Inversed (If alive with not very poor QoL)
% 95% CrI (%) PO 95% CrI % 95% CrI (%) PO 95% CrI
Age at asthma onset over 65.49 80.0 76.9 83.0 4.0 3.3 4.9 16.0 13.4 19.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
No CVD 77.0 73.6 80.1 3.3 2.8 4.0 76.0 72.6 79.2 3.2 2.6 3.8
No diabetes 76.0 72.6 79.2 3.2 2.6 3.8 88.0 85.3 90.3 7.3 5.8 9.3
No alcoholism 75.0 71.5 78.2 3.0 2.5 3.6 87.0 84.3 89.4 6.7 5.4 8.4
No cancer 74.0 70.6 77.3 2.8 2.4 3.4 96.0 94.3 97.3 24.0 16.5 36.0
No psychiatric disease 75.0 71.5 78.2 3.0 2.5 3.6 93.0 90.9 94.8 13.3 10.0 18.2
BMI 0 87.0 84.3 89.4 6.7 5.4 8.4 3.0 1.8 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
FEV1 over 89.61 81.0 77.8 83.9 4.3 3.5 5.2 5.0 3.5 6.8 0.1 0.0 0.1
No AF 74.0 70.6 77.3 2.8 2.4 3.4 95.0 93.2 96.5 19.0 13.7 27.6
QT below 378.17 71.0 67.4 74.3 2.4 2.1 2.9 4.0 2.7 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
Risk Very poor QoL/death Inversed (If very poor QoL/death)
% 95% CrI (%) PO 95% CrI % 95% CrI (%) PO 95% CrI
Age at asthma onset below 45.53 47.0 43.2 50.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 18.0 15.1 21.0 0.2 0.2 0.3
CVD 37.0 33.3 40.7 0.6 0.5 0.7 38.0 34.3 41.8 0.6 0.5 0.7
Diabetes 43.0 39.2 46.8 0.8 0.6 0.9 24.0 20.8 27.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
Alcoholism 40.0 36.3 43.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 23.0 19.9 26.4 0.3 0.2 0.4
Cancer 49.0 45.2 52.8 1.0 0.8 1.1 10.0 7.9 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Psychiatric disease 46.0 42.2 49.9 0.9 0.7 1.0 17.0 14.3 20.0 0.2 0.2 0.3
BMI 3 51.0 47.2 54.8 1.0 0.9 1.2 12.0 9.7 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.2
FEV1 below 31.11 50.0 46.2 53.9 1.0 0.9 1.2 12.0 9.7 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.2
AF 47.0 43.2 50.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 11.0 8.7 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.2
QT over 506.59 98.0 96.7 98.9 49.0 29.3 89.9 3.0 1.8 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0