Method for Assigning Priority Levels in Acute Care (MAPLe-AC) predicts outcomes of acute hospital care of older persons - a cross-national validation

Table 5 Predicting death by Cox-regression models during and after hospital stay in Nordic hospitals among elderly patients (202/561) by MAPLe-AC based on pre-morbid, admission and 7^th day or discharge information.

	Pre-morbid information				Admission information				7^th day or discharge information
	Hazard Ratio	95% CI		p <	Hazard Ratio	95% CI		p <	Hazard Ratio	95% CI		p <
Sex (Women = 1)	0.61	0.46	0.46	0.001	0.58	0.44	0.78	0.000	0.60	0.45	0.79	0.000
Age 75-79	1.00				1.00				1.00
Age 80-84	1.17	0.79	0.79	0.428	1.23	0.83	1.83	0.299	1.18	0.80	1.75	0.409
Age 85-89	1.25	0.84	0.84	0.269	1.25	0.84	1.86	0.277	1.23	0.83	1.83	0.306
Age 90+	1.52	0.99	0.99	0.056	1.56	1.02	2.40	0.042	1.50	0.98	2.30	0.065
Reason for hospitalization
New problem	1.00				1.00				1.00
Exacerbation of existing problem	1.46	1.04	1.04	0.028	1.52	1.08	2.12	0.015	1.51	1.08	2.11	0.016
Both new and old problem	1.94	1.34	1.34	0.000	1.98	1.37	2.86	0.000	1.94	1.34	2.81	0.000
MAPLe-AC
Low	1.00				1.00				1.00
Mild	1.61	0.94	0.94	0.081	0.85	0.38	1.94	0.706	1.78	1.01	3.14	0.048
Moderate	1.76	1.19	1.19	0.005	1.31	0.76	2.25	0.328	1.77	1.11	2.82	0.017
High	2.82	1.88	1.88	0.000	2.26	1.29	3.94	0.004	2.69	1.67	4.34	0.000
Very high	3.70	2.21	2.21	0.000	2.71	1.44	5.09	0.002	3.63	2.08	6.35	0.000
Diagnoses (ICD-10)
Neoplasms	3.21	2.25	2.25	0.000	3.29	2.31	4.70	0.000	3.44	2.41	4.91	0.000
Mental and behavioral diseases	0.43	0.25	0.25	0.003	0.48	0.28	0.84	0.010	0.46	0.26	0.81	0.007
Diseases of the respiratory system	1.59	1.18	1.18	0.003	1.62	1.21	2.17	0.001	1.61	1.20	2.17	0.002

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