Use of outcomes to evaluate surveillance systems for bioterrorist attacks

Table 2 AUC of weighted ROC curves - base case

Lives - weighted		QALYs - weighted		Costs - weighted		Timeliness - weighted[4]
System	AUC	System	AUC	System	AUC	System	AUC
TS	0.514	TS	0.448	TS	0.424	TS	0.65
GLMM 1	0.447	GLMM 1	0.411	GLMM 1	0.397	Scan 1	0.41
Scan 1	0.431	Scan 1	0.36	GLMM 3	0.336	Scan 3	0.378
Scan 3	0.413	GLMM 3	0.356	Scan 1	0.333	Scan 7	0.349
GLMM 3	0.409	Scan 3	0.34	Scan 3	0.313	GLMM 3	0.276
Scan 7	0.377	Scan 7	0.309	Scan 7	0.283	GLMM 7	0.271
GLMM 7	0.316	GLMM 7	0.269	GLMM 7	0.251	GLMM 1	0.235

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