Table 3 Variables used

Past Incidence Rate (T-12, T-11, …, T-1, T)

Past Incidence Rate (T-12, T-11, …, T-1)

Past Incidence Rate (T-12_T-9, T-8_T-5, T-4_T-1)

Rainfall (T-12, T-11, …, T-1, T)

Rainfall (T-12, T-11, …, T-1)

Rainfall (T-12_T-9, T-8_T-5, T-4_T-1)

NDVI (T-12, T-11, …, T-1, T)

NDVI (T-12, T-11, …, T-1)

NDVI (T-12_T-9, T-8_T-5, T-7_T-4)

SOI (T)

SSTA (T-4, T-3, T-2, T-1)

EVI (T-12_T-9, T-8_T-5, T-7_T-4)

Week number

Week number

SSTA (T-12, T-11, …, T-1)

SOI (T-12_T-9, T-9_T-6)

Temperature Day (T-12_T-9, T-8_T-5, T-5_T-2)

Temperature Night (T-12_T-9, T-8_T-5, T-5_T-2)

Week number

Running water

Sanitation

Electric lighting